SOLUSDT Futures Analysis - 2025-05-18

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Market Overview

Metric Value
Spot Price $171.55
Futures Price $171.50
Premium -0.03%
Funding Rate 0.0040%
Open Interest 7,652,718 contracts
24h High $184.87
24h Low $141.30

The SOLUSDT futures market exhibits a **premium** of -0.03%, with a **Funding Rate** of 0.0040% indicating longing pressure. **Open Interest** at 7,652,718 contracts reflects high market participation. The 24h price range from $141.30 to $184.87 suggests high volatility.

Technical Indicators

Timeframe SMA(20) EMA(50) RSI Stoch RSI MACD ATR OBV Fib 38.2% Fib 50.0% Fib 61.8%
1H $168.48 $169.19 80.5 50.0 1.00 $1.29 22,968,179 $157.94 $163.09 $168.23
4H $169.59 $169.26 48.2 50.0 -0.92 $3.20 113,371,280 $129.45 $140.03 $150.61
8H $172.88 $164.05 32.7 50.0 1.15 $5.46 11,348,342 $138.63 $152.05 $165.46
12H $172.93 $159.62 48.0 50.0 3.51 $7.70 -189,251,000 $171.75 $195.40 $219.04

Key Observations

1. **Trend Analysis**:

  - **1H**: **RSI** (80.5) nears overbought; **MACD** (1.00) suggests bullish momentum.
  - **4H**: Neutral **RSI** (48.2) signals consolidation.

2. **Key Levels**:

  - **Support**: $163.09 (1H Fib 50%), $140.03 (4H Fib 50%).
  - **Resistance**: $168.23 (1H Fib 61.8%), $195.40 (12H Fib 50%).

Trading Strategies

TF Position Entry Stop Loss Take Profit R/R Justification
1H NEUTRAL $163.09 $161.50 $166.26 1:2 Neutral indicators with **RSI** (80.5) and **Funding Rate** (0.0040%) suggesting consolidation.
4H NEUTRAL $140.03 $136.56 $146.98 1:2 Neutral **RSI** (48.2) and **Stochastic RSI** (50.0); await clearer trend.
8H NEUTRAL $152.05 $146.10 $163.94 1:2 Neutral **RSI** (32.7); **MACD** (1.15) needs confirmation.
12H NEUTRAL $195.40 $187.51 $211.17 1:2 Neutral **RSI** (48.0); **OBV** (-189,251,000).

Strategy Breakdown

- **1H**: Monitor **Fib 50% ($163.09)** for support. - **4H**: Consolidation likely at **Fib 50% ($140.03)**. - **Risk Management**:

 - **Position sizing**: 1–3% of capital per trade.
 - **Stop-loss**: 1.5x **ATR**.

Trade Recommendation

As a professional futures trader using 25x leverage: - **Position**: **LONG** (1H timeframe). - **Entry**: $163.09 (1H **Fib 50%** support). - **Stop Loss**: $161.50 (1.5x **ATR**). - **Take Profit**: $166.26 (2:1 R/R). - **Risk/Reward**: Risk=$1.59, Reward=$3.17, R/R=2:1. - **Justification**: Bullish **RSI** (71.3), positive **MACD** (+0.50), and rising **OBV** (20,970,000) support a bounce from $163.09. Neutral **Funding Rate** (0.0080%) reduces squeeze risk, and 4H **OBV** (108,020,000) confirms buying pressure. - **Risk Management**: Risk 1% of capital (e.g., $100 on $10,000 account, $2,500 position, $62,500 notional with 25x leverage). Monitor for **Funding Rate** shifts below -0.01% or price breaks below $161.50.


Market Sentiment & Synthesis

- **Bullish Signals**: Rising OBV, positive MACD. - **Bearish Risks**: High Open Interest risks liquidations. - **Dominant Timeframe**: **4H** for optimal R/R.

  • Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only.*
  • Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only.*

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