Axie Infinity futures

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  1. Axie Infinity Futures: A Beginner's Guide to Trading AXS Derivatives

Introduction

Axie Infinity (AXS) has been a prominent name in the DeFi and NFT space, initially captivating audiences with its play-to-earn (P2E) model. While the game's popularity has ebbed and flowed, the AXS token and its associated ecosystem continue to attract interest, particularly from traders looking to leverage their market predictions. One way to do this is through trading Axie Infinity futures. This article will provide a comprehensive guide for beginners interested in understanding and potentially trading AXS futures, covering the basics, mechanics, risks, and strategies involved.

What are Futures Contracts?

Before diving into Axie Infinity futures specifically, it's crucial to understand what futures contracts are in general. A futures contract is a legally binding agreement to buy or sell an asset at a predetermined price on a specified future date. It’s a derivative instrument, meaning its value is *derived* from the underlying asset – in this case, AXS.

Here’s a breakdown of key components:

  • **Underlying Asset:** This is the asset the contract is based on (AXS).
  • **Expiration Date:** The date when the contract matures and the asset must be delivered (or cash settled).
  • **Futures Price:** The price agreed upon today for the future transaction.
  • **Contract Size:** The amount of the underlying asset covered by one contract. For example, one AXS future contract might represent 100 AXS tokens.
  • **Margin:** The initial amount of capital required to open and maintain a futures position. This is significantly less than the total value of the contract, providing leverage.
  • **Mark-to-Market:** The daily settlement process where gains or losses are credited or debited to your account based on the daily price movement of the futures contract.

Axie Infinity Futures: Specifics

Axie Infinity futures allow traders to speculate on the future price of AXS without actually owning the token itself. These contracts are typically offered by cryptocurrency exchanges that support futures trading, such as Binance, Bybit, and OKX.

  • **Contract Specifications:** Each exchange will have slightly different specifications for its AXS futures contracts. Key details to note include:
   * Contract Code: A unique identifier for the contract.
   * Minimum Tick Size: The smallest price increment the contract can move.
   * Settlement Method:  Most crypto futures are settled in cash (USDT or USDC), meaning you receive the equivalent cash value of the asset at expiration, rather than the actual AXS tokens.
   * Trading Hours: The periods when the contract is available for trading.
  • **Types of Futures Contracts:**
   * **Perpetual Futures:** These contracts have no expiration date. Traders can hold them indefinitely, but they are subject to a funding rate (explained below).  These are the most common type of AXS futures.
   * **Quarterly Futures:** These contracts expire every three months (quarterly). They generally have less frequent funding rate adjustments than perpetual futures.
   * **Monthly Futures:** Similar to quarterly futures, but expire monthly.
Axie Infinity Futures Contract Example (Specifications may vary by exchange)
Feature Value
Underlying Asset AXS
Contract Size 100 AXS
Minimum Tick Size $0.01
Settlement Method Cash (USDT)
Leverage Up to 20x (varies by exchange and risk settings)
Funding Rate Variable (see below)

Understanding Leverage and Margin

One of the key features – and risks – of futures trading is leverage. Leverage allows you to control a larger position with a smaller amount of capital. For example, with 20x leverage, you can control 2000 AXS worth of futures with only 100 AXS worth of margin.

  • **Benefits of Leverage:** Magnifies potential profits.
  • **Risks of Leverage:** Magnifies potential losses. If the price moves against your position, you can lose your margin quickly and potentially face liquidation.
    • Margin Requirements:** Exchanges have different margin requirements.
  • **Initial Margin:** The amount of capital required to open a position.
  • **Maintenance Margin:** The minimum amount of capital you must maintain in your account to keep the position open. If your account balance falls below the maintenance margin, you will be subject to **liquidation**.
    • Liquidation:** This occurs when your losses exceed your margin, and the exchange automatically closes your position to prevent further losses. It's crucial to understand liquidation prices and maintain sufficient margin to avoid this. Risk Management is paramount.

Funding Rates (Perpetual Futures)

Perpetual futures contracts don't have an expiration date, so a mechanism is needed to keep the futures price anchored to the spot price of AXS. This is achieved through **funding rates**.

  • **Funding Rate:** A periodic payment (typically every 8 hours) exchanged between long and short positions.
  • **Positive Funding Rate:** When the futures price is higher than the spot price, long positions pay short positions. This incentivizes traders to short AXS and bring the futures price closer to the spot price.
  • **Negative Funding Rate:** When the futures price is lower than the spot price, short positions pay long positions. This incentivizes traders to long AXS and bring the futures price closer to the spot price.

The funding rate is calculated based on the difference between the futures price and the spot price, and an interest rate. It's important to consider funding rates when holding a perpetual futures position for an extended period, as they can significantly impact your profitability.

Trading Strategies for Axie Infinity Futures

Several trading strategies can be employed when trading AXS futures. Here are a few examples:

  • **Trend Following:** Identifying the overall trend of AXS (upward or downward) and taking positions in that direction. Utilize Technical Analysis tools like moving averages and trendlines.
  • **Range Trading:** Identifying price ranges where AXS consistently bounces between support and resistance levels. Buy at support and sell at resistance.
  • **Breakout Trading:** Identifying key resistance levels. If the price breaks above resistance with significant volume, it signals a potential bullish breakout. Enter a long position. Conversely, a break below support signals a bearish breakout.
  • **Arbitrage:** Exploiting price differences between the AXS futures contract and the spot price of AXS on different exchanges. This requires fast execution and low trading fees.
  • **Hedging:** Using futures to offset potential losses in your AXS spot holdings. For example, if you hold AXS and are concerned about a price drop, you can short AXS futures to hedge your position. See Hedging Strategies.
  • **Scalping:** Making small profits from numerous short-term trades throughout the day. Requires quick reactions and precise entry/exit points. Scalping Techniques

Technical Analysis Tools for AXS Futures Trading

Using technical analysis is crucial for making informed trading decisions. Some key tools include:

  • **Moving Averages:** Identify trends and potential support/resistance levels. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is a popular indicator.
  • **Relative Strength Index (RSI):** Measures the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions.
  • **Fibonacci Retracements:** Identify potential support and resistance levels based on Fibonacci ratios.
  • **Volume Analysis:** Analyzing trading volume can confirm the strength of a trend or breakout. Look for increasing volume during price movements. Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) is useful.
  • **Chart Patterns:** Recognizing patterns like head and shoulders, double tops/bottoms, and triangles can provide clues about future price movements.

Risk Management in Axie Infinity Futures Trading

Trading futures, particularly with leverage, carries significant risk. Effective risk management is essential.

  • **Stop-Loss Orders:** Automatically close your position when the price reaches a predetermined level, limiting potential losses.
  • **Take-Profit Orders:** Automatically close your position when the price reaches a predetermined level, locking in profits.
  • **Position Sizing:** Only risk a small percentage of your capital on any single trade (e.g., 1-2%).
  • **Diversification:** Don't put all your eggs in one basket. Diversify your portfolio across different assets and trading strategies.
  • **Understand Liquidation Prices:** Always know your liquidation price and ensure you have sufficient margin to avoid liquidation.
  • **Avoid Overtrading:** Don't make impulsive trades based on emotion. Stick to your trading plan.
  • **Stay Informed:** Keep up-to-date with news and developments related to Axie Infinity and the broader crypto market.

Resources for Tracking AXS Futures and Market Data

  • **CoinMarketCap:** Provides price charts, volume data, and market capitalization for AXS. CoinMarketCap Link
  • **TradingView:** A popular charting platform with a wide range of technical analysis tools. TradingView Link
  • **Exchange Websites:** Binance, Bybit, and OKX provide real-time data and trading tools for their AXS futures contracts. (Links to respective exchange AXS futures pages should be added here.)
  • **Glassnode:** Provides on-chain analytics and insights into AXS and the Axie Infinity ecosystem. Glassnode Link
  • **Crypto News Websites:** Stay informed about market trends and news. CoinDesk Link and Cointelegraph Link.

Conclusion

Axie Infinity futures offer a sophisticated way to trade the AXS token, allowing traders to leverage their market predictions and potentially profit from price movements. However, it's crucial to understand the inherent risks involved, particularly leverage and funding rates. By mastering the fundamentals of futures contracts, employing sound trading strategies, and implementing robust risk management techniques, beginners can navigate the world of AXS futures trading with greater confidence. Remember to start small, practice with paper trading (if available), and continuously learn and adapt to the ever-changing crypto market. Derivatives Trading provides a broader overview of this asset class.


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