AXS Futures

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  1. AXS Futures: A Comprehensive Guide for Beginners

AXS Futures represent a rapidly growing segment of the cryptocurrency derivatives market. This article serves as a detailed introduction for beginners, explaining what AXS Futures are, how they work, the risks involved, and how to get started trading them. We will cover everything from the underlying asset – Axie Infinity (AXS) – to advanced trading strategies.

What is Axie Infinity (AXS)?

Before diving into Futures, understanding the underlying asset is crucial. Axie Infinity is a Play-to-Earn (P2E) game built on the Ethereum blockchain. Players collect, breed, and battle digital creatures called Axies, which are Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs). AXS is the governance token of the Axie Infinity universe. It’s used for several purposes within the game ecosystem, including breeding new Axies, participating in governance votes, and staking to earn rewards. The success of Axie Infinity, particularly during the height of the P2E boom, drove significant demand for AXS, making it a popular asset for trading and speculation. You can learn more about NFTs and their role in the broader crypto landscape.

What are Futures Contracts?

A futures contract is a legally binding agreement to buy or sell an asset at a predetermined price on a specified future date. Unlike spot trading, where you buy and own the asset immediately, futures trading involves an agreement about a *future* transaction.

Here’s a breakdown of key terms:

  • **Underlying Asset:** In this case, it’s AXS.
  • **Contract Size:** The quantity of AXS represented by one futures contract. This varies by exchange (see section on Exchanges below).
  • **Delivery Date (Expiration Date):** The date on which the contract matures and settlement occurs.
  • **Futures Price:** The price agreed upon today for the future transaction.
  • **Margin:** The amount of capital required to open and maintain a futures position. This is a percentage of the total contract value and is significantly less than the full asset value – this is what creates the leverage effect.
  • **Leverage:** The ability to control a large position with a relatively small amount of capital. This amplifies both potential profits *and* potential losses. Understanding leverage is critical.
  • **Mark-to-Market:** The daily settlement process where profits and losses are credited or debited to your account based on the daily price movement of the futures contract.
  • **Settlement:** The process of fulfilling the contract. This can be physical delivery (rare in crypto) or cash settlement (more common, where the difference between the contract price and the spot price is paid).

Understanding AXS Futures Contracts

AXS Futures contracts, like those for other assets, allow traders to speculate on the future price of AXS without actually owning the token. You can:

  • **Go Long (Buy):** Bet that the price of AXS will *increase* in the future. You profit if the price rises above your purchase price.
  • **Go Short (Sell):** Bet that the price of AXS will *decrease* in the future. You profit if the price falls below your selling price.

The key difference between AXS Futures and simply buying or selling AXS on a spot exchange is the use of leverage. For example, with 10x leverage, you can control $10,000 worth of AXS with only $1,000 of capital. This can lead to substantial gains, but also substantial losses. Always be aware of risk management principles.

How AXS Futures Trading Works: A Step-by-Step Example

Let's illustrate with a simplified example:

1. **You believe AXS price will rise.** The current spot price of AXS is $10. 2. **You open a Long position on an AXS Futures contract.** Let's say the contract size is 100 AXS, and the Futures price is $10.20 with an expiry date in one month. The margin requirement is 5%, meaning you need $500 (5% of $10,200) to open the position. 3. **Price Increases.** Over the next week, the AXS spot price rises to $12. The Futures price also increases to $12.20. 4. **Profit Calculation.** Your profit is ($12.20 - $10.20) * 100 = $200. This is a 40% return on your $500 margin! 5. **Price Decreases.** Alternatively, if the price falls to $8, the futures price falls to $8.20. Your loss is ($8.20 - $10.20) * 100 = -$200.

This example highlights the power of leverage. However, remember that losses are also magnified. If the price moved against you significantly, you could lose your entire margin, and potentially more (depending on the exchange’s policies). Consider learning about stop-loss orders to mitigate risk.

Exchanges Offering AXS Futures

Several cryptocurrency exchanges offer AXS Futures trading. Some of the most popular include:

  • **Binance:** Offers a wide range of futures contracts, including AXS perpetual contracts. Binance is a major player in the crypto exchange space.
  • **Bybit:** Popular for its user-friendly interface and competitive fees.
  • **OKX:** Another major exchange with a robust futures trading platform.
  • **Deribit:** Specializes in options and futures trading, often offering more sophisticated instruments.
  • **Huobi:** A well-established exchange with a diverse range of crypto products.

Each exchange has different contract specifications (contract size, expiry dates, funding rates, etc.) and fee structures. Compare these carefully before choosing an exchange. Researching exchange security is also paramount.

AXS Futures Contract Specifications (Example)
Exchange Contract Size Tick Size Funding Rate Settlement Binance 100 AXS $0.01 Every 8 hours Perpetual (Cash settled) Bybit 100 AXS $0.01 Every 8 hours Perpetual (Cash settled) OKX 100 AXS $0.01 Every 8 hours Perpetual (Cash settled)
  • Note: Contract specifications are subject to change. Always verify the latest information on the exchange’s website.*

Funding Rates and Perpetual Contracts

Many AXS Futures contracts are "perpetual" contracts. Unlike traditional futures with an expiry date, perpetual contracts don't have a settlement date. Instead, they use a mechanism called a **funding rate** to keep the contract price anchored to the spot price.

  • **Positive Funding Rate:** If the Futures price is *higher* than the spot price, long positions pay a funding fee to short positions. This incentivizes traders to sell (short) and bring the Futures price down.
  • **Negative Funding Rate:** If the Futures price is *lower* than the spot price, short positions pay a funding fee to long positions. This incentivizes traders to buy (long) and bring the Futures price up.

Funding rates are typically calculated and paid every 8 hours. Understanding funding rates is crucial for long-term positions.

Risks of Trading AXS Futures

Trading AXS Futures involves significant risks:

  • **Leverage Risk:** As mentioned earlier, leverage amplifies both profits and losses. A small adverse price movement can quickly wipe out your margin.
  • **Volatility Risk:** The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile. AXS, in particular, has experienced significant price swings.
  • **Liquidation Risk:** If the price moves against your position and your margin falls below the maintenance margin level, your position will be automatically liquidated by the exchange. This means you'll lose your entire margin. Learn about liquidation engines.
  • **Funding Rate Risk:** For perpetual contracts, consistently paying funding rates can erode your profits, especially if you hold a position for an extended period.
  • **Exchange Risk:** The risk of the exchange being hacked, going bankrupt, or experiencing technical issues.

Trading Strategies for AXS Futures

Several strategies can be employed when trading AXS Futures:

  • **Trend Following:** Identify the prevailing trend (upward or downward) and trade in that direction. Utilize technical indicators like moving averages to identify trends.
  • **Range Trading:** Identify a price range and buy at the lower end and sell at the higher end.
  • **Scalping:** Make small profits from frequent trades, capitalizing on minor price movements.
  • **Arbitrage:** Exploit price discrepancies between different exchanges.
  • **Hedging:** Use futures to offset the risk of holding AXS on a spot exchange.
  • **Swing Trading:** Holding positions for several days to weeks to profit from larger price swings. Consider using Fibonacci retracements for entry and exit points.

Technical Analysis for AXS Futures

Technical analysis involves analyzing price charts and using indicators to predict future price movements. Key tools include:

  • **Candlestick Patterns:** Recognizing patterns that indicate potential reversals or continuations.
  • **Moving Averages:** Identifying trends and potential support/resistance levels.
  • **Relative Strength Index (RSI):** Measuring the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions.
  • **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):** Identifying trend changes and potential trading signals.
  • **Volume Analysis:** Analyzing trading volume to confirm price movements and identify potential breakouts. Understanding volume-price analysis is key.

Trading Volume Analysis

Analyzing the trading volume of AXS Futures contracts can provide valuable insights:

  • **High Volume:** Often confirms the strength of a price movement.
  • **Low Volume:** Can indicate a lack of conviction in the price movement.
  • **Volume Spikes:** May signal significant events or reversals.
  • **Open Interest:** The total number of outstanding contracts. Increasing open interest suggests growing interest in the market.

Getting Started with AXS Futures

1. **Choose an Exchange:** Select a reputable exchange that offers AXS Futures. 2. **Create an Account:** Complete the registration process and verify your identity. 3. **Deposit Funds:** Deposit funds into your account (usually in USDT or another cryptocurrency). 4. **Understand Contract Specifications:** Familiarize yourself with the contract size, margin requirements, and expiry date. 5. **Start Small:** Begin with a small position to get a feel for the market and the exchange’s platform. 6. **Use Risk Management:** Always set stop-loss orders and manage your leverage carefully. 7. **Continue Learning:** Stay updated on market news, technical analysis, and trading strategies.

Disclaimer

Trading cryptocurrency futures carries a high level of risk. This article is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.


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