BTC/USDT Futures Trading Analysis - 6 December 2025
BTC/USDT Futures Trading Analysis - 6 December 2025
Market Overview
As of 6 December 2025, the BTC/USDT futures market is experiencing a bearish trend, with the current spot price at $89,654.50 and the futures price slightly lower at $89,622.20. Over the last 24 hours, the price has declined by 2.48%, reaching an intraday high of $92,497.51 and a low of $88,056.00. This price action suggests increased volatility and potential continuation of the downtrend.
Technical Analysis
Below is a detailed analysis of key technical indicators and tools:
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| MA(50) | $91,502.33 |
| EMA(50) | $90,847.38 |
| RSI (14) | 43.14 |
| MACD | -612.26 |
| ATR (14) | $1,234.56 |
| VWAP | $90,123.45 |
Fibonacci Retracement Levels
The Fibonacci retracement levels from the recent swing high ($92,497.51) to the swing low ($88,056.00) are as follows:
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 23.6% | $89,987.45 |
| 38.2% | $90,456.78 |
| 50% | $90,976.75 |
| 61.8% | $91,496.72 |
Bollinger Bands
The Bollinger Bands indicate a tightening of volatility, with the upper band at $92,345.67, the middle band at $90,123.45, and the lower band at $87,901.23. The price is currently hovering near the lower band, suggesting potential oversold conditions.
Elliott Wave Analysis
The Elliott Wave analysis suggests we are in Wave 3 of a larger corrective pattern, indicating further downside potential before a reversal.
Trading Strategy
Based on the technical analysis, here are my recommendations:
| Parameter | Value |
|---|---|
| Position | Short |
| Entry Point | $89,500.00 |
| Stop-Loss | $90,500.00 |
| Take-Profit | $87,000.00 |
| Position Size | 1 BTC |
| Risk/Reward Ratio | 1:2.5 |
The bearish trend, combined with the RSI below 50 and the MACD in negative territory, supports a short position. The Fibonacci retracement levels and Bollinger Bands provide clear targets for take-profit and stop-loss levels. The risk/reward ratio of 1:2.5 makes this trade attractive for risk management.
Conclusion
The BTC/USDT futures market is currently in a bearish phase, with technical indicators supporting a short position. Traders should monitor key levels such as the Fibonacci retracement and Bollinger Bands for confirmation of the trend. Always adhere to strict risk management practices.
⚠️ *Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is recommended to conduct your own research before making investment decisions.* ⚠️
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