BTC/USDT Futures Trading Analysis - 3 November 2025
Market Overview
As of 3 November 2025, the BTC/USDT futures market is exhibiting notable volatility, with the current spot price standing at $109,019.98 and the futures price slightly lower at $108,954.10. The market has seen a 24-hour decline of -0.94%, with an intraday high of $111,250.01 and a low of $108,666.66. This price action suggests a bearish sentiment in the short term, as the market struggles to maintain upward momentum.
Technical Analysis
The technical indicators provide a deeper insight into the current market dynamics:
Both the MA(50) and EMA(50) are currently above the spot price, indicating a potential resistance zone. This aligns with the bearish sentiment observed in the price action.
- RSI (14): 24.97
The RSI is in the oversold territory, which could signal a potential reversal or a continuation of the downtrend if bearish pressure persists.
- MACD: -179.97
The MACD is in negative territory, reinforcing the bearish momentum.
Additional indicators further clarify the market structure:
- Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 23.6% | $109,800.00 |
| 38.2% | $110,500.00 |
| 50% | $111,100.00 |
| 61.8% | $111,700.00 |
These levels provide key resistance and support zones for potential price movements.
The price is currently near the lower band, suggesting oversold conditions. A bounce from this level could indicate a short-term reversal.
- ATR: 1,200.00
The ATR indicates high volatility, which is typical during significant price swings.
- VWAP: $109,500.00
The price is currently below the VWAP, signaling bearish dominance.
The market appears to be in the fifth wave of a downtrend, which could lead to a potential reversal or consolidation phase.
Trading Strategy
Based on the technical analysis, here are my recommendations:
- Position: Short
The bearish indicators and price action suggest a short position is favorable.
- Entry Point: $108,800.00
Aiming to enter near the current price level.
- Stop-Loss: $110,500.00
Placing the stop-loss above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level to minimize risk.
- Take-Profit: $106,000.00
Targeting a key support level for profit-taking.
- Position Size: 2% of portfolio
Maintaining a conservative position size to manage risk.
- Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
The potential reward outweighs the risk, making this a favorable setup.
⚠️ *Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is recommended to conduct your own research before making investment decisions.* ⚠️
Recommended Crypto Futures Exchanges
| Exchange | Futures Features | Sign-Up |
|---|---|---|
| Binance Futures | Up to 125x leverage, USDⓈ-M contracts | Register Now - CashBack 10% SPOT and Futures |
| Bybit Futures | Inverse perpetual contracts | Start Trading |
| BingX Futures | Copy-trading for futures | Join BingX |
| Bitget Futures | USDT-margined contracts | Open Account |
Join the community
Subscribe to our Telegram channel @strategybin. The most favorable exchange rate for VISA to cryptocurrencies..