BTC/USDT Futures Trading Analysis - 2 November 2025
BTC/USDT Futures Trading Analysis - 2 November 2025
Market Overview
As of 2 November 2025, the BTC/USDT futures market is showing steady momentum. The current spot price stands at $110535.40, while the futures price is slightly lower at $110486.90, indicating a minor backwardation. Over the past 24 hours, the market has seen a modest increase of +0.36%, with an intraday high of $110577.29 and a low of $109702.66. This suggests a relatively stable trading session with no significant volatility spikes.
Technical Analysis
Let’s dive into the technical indicators to assess the market’s current state and potential future movements.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| MA(50) | $109959.63 |
| EMA(50) | $110061.27 |
| RSI (14) | 61.89 |
| MACD | 71.76 |
The MA(50) and EMA(50) are both trending upward, indicating bullish momentum. The RSI at 61.89 is nearing the overbought zone but remains within a neutral range, suggesting room for further upward movement. The MACD is positive at 71.76, reinforcing bullish sentiment.
Additional indicators provide further insights:
- Fibonacci Retracement Levels: The current price is hovering near the 0.382 level ($110400), which acts as a key support. The next resistance is at the 0.618 level ($111200). - Bollinger Bands: The price is trading within the upper band, indicating strong upward momentum. A break above the upper band could signal overbought conditions. - ATR: The ATR value of 1200 suggests moderate volatility, typical for BTC/USDT futures. - VWAP: The VWAP at $110200 aligns closely with the current price, indicating fair value. - Elliott Wave Analysis: The market appears to be in Wave 3 of a bullish impulse, with potential targets near $112000.
Trading Strategy
Based on the technical analysis, here are my recommendations for BTC/USDT futures trading:
- **Position**: Long - **Entry Point**: $110400 (near the Fibonacci 0.382 support level) - **Stop-Loss**: $109500 (below the intraday low) - **Take-Profit**: $112000 (Fibonacci 0.618 resistance level) - **Position Size**: 1-2% of total capital to manage risk effectively - **Risk/Reward Ratio**: 1:2 (reward is twice the risk)
This strategy leverages the bullish momentum while keeping risk in check. The stop-loss is placed below the intraday low to minimize losses, while the take-profit aligns with the next Fibonacci resistance level.
⚠️ *Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is recommended to conduct your own research before making investment decisions.* ⚠️
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