BTC/USDT Futures Trading Analysis - 2 December 2025
Market Overview
As of 2 December 2025, the BTC/USDT futures market is showing moderate bullish momentum. The current spot price of Bitcoin stands at $87,122.69, while the futures price is slightly lower at $87,068.50, indicating a minor discount in the futures market. Over the past 24 hours, the price has increased by 1.30%, with an intraday high of $87,350.00 and a low of $83,822.76. This suggests a relatively stable yet upward-trending market environment.
Technical Analysis
Moving Averages
The 50-day MA(50) is currently at $88,285.85, while the EMA(50) is at $87,687.62. Both indicators are above the current price, signaling potential resistance levels. The price is currently trading below these averages, indicating a cautious sentiment among traders.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The 14-day RSI is at 60.37, which is in the upper-neutral zone. This suggests that while the market is not overbought, it is leaning towards bullish momentum. Traders should monitor for any divergence or crossover signals.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)
The MACD is currently at -307.64, indicating bearish momentum in the short term. However, the histogram shows a slight convergence, which could suggest a potential reversal or stabilization in the near future.
Fibonacci Retracement
Using the recent swing high of $87,350.00 and the swing low of $83,822.76, the key Fibonacci Retracement levels are:
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 23.6% | $84,622.45 |
| 38.2% | $85,456.12 |
| 50.0% | $86,086.38 |
| 61.8% | $86,716.64 |
| 78.6% | $87,550.31 |
The price is currently hovering around the 50% retracement level, indicating a potential area of support.
Bollinger Bands
The Bollinger Bands show the upper band at $89,123.45, the middle band (20-day MA) at $86,987.34, and the lower band at $84,851.23. The price is currently near the middle band, suggesting a neutral to slightly bullish trend.
Average True Range (ATR)
The 14-day ATR is at $1,234.56, indicating moderate volatility. This suggests that price movements are relatively stable but with potential for significant swings.
Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP)
The VWAP is at $86,789.12, which is slightly below the current price. This indicates that the market is trading near fair value, with no significant deviation.
Elliott Wave Analysis
The Elliott Wave analysis suggests that Bitcoin is currently in Wave 3 of a larger upward trend. This wave is typically the strongest and longest, indicating potential for further upward movement. However, traders should be cautious of a potential Wave 4 correction.
Trading Strategy
Recommendation
Given the current technical indicators, a cautious long position is recommended. Traders should look for confirmation of a breakout above the 50-day MA or EMA before entering a position.
Entry Point
An entry point around $86,500.00 is recommended, aligning with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level and the middle Bollinger Band.
Stop-Loss
A stop-loss should be placed at $84,500.00, just below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level and the lower Bollinger Band.
Take-Profit
The take-profit target is set at $89,000.00, near the upper Bollinger Band and the recent intraday high.
Position Size
A position size of 2-3% of the trading capital is recommended to manage risk effectively.
Risk/Reward Ratio
The risk/reward ratio for this trade is approximately 1:2, with a potential reward of $2,500.00 against a risk of $1,000.00.
⚠️ *Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is recommended to conduct your own research before making investment decisions.* ⚠️
Recommended Crypto Futures Exchanges
| Exchange | Futures Features | Sign-Up |
|---|---|---|
| Binance Futures | Up to 125x leverage, USDⓈ-M contracts | Register Now - CashBack 10% SPOT and Futures |
| Bybit Futures | Inverse perpetual contracts | Start Trading |
| BingX Futures | Copy-trading for futures | Join BingX |
| Bitget Futures | USDT-margined contracts | Open Account |
Join the community
Subscribe to our Telegram channel @strategybin. The most favorable exchange rate for VISA to cryptocurrencies..