BTC/USDT Futures Trading Analysis - 1 November 2025
BTC/USDT Futures Trading Analysis - 1 November 2025
1. Market Overview
As of 1 November 2025, the BTC/USDT futures market is showing moderate bullish momentum, with the current spot price at **$110,280.00** and the futures price slightly lower at **$110,249.70**, indicating a minor backwardation. The 24-hour change stands at **+0.35%**, reflecting a gradual upward trend. Intraday volatility is evident, with the price swinging between a high of **$111,190.00** and a low of **$108,635.00**.
Key observations:
- The futures market is trading at a slight discount to spot, which could signal cautious sentiment among traders.
- The price action suggests consolidation after a recent uptrend, with buyers attempting to push higher.
2. Technical Analysis
Moving Averages
| class="wikitable" | |
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| MA(50) | $109,351.46 |
| EMA(50) | $109,931.27 |
The price is currently above both the MA(50) and EMA(50), indicating a bullish bias in the medium term. The EMA(50) is closer to the current price, suggesting stronger recent momentum.
Oscillators
| class="wikitable" | ||
| Indicator | Value | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| RSI(14) | 43.70 | Neutral (approaching oversold) |
| MACD | 126.97 | Bullish momentum weakening |
The RSI is hovering near the mid-range, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. The MACD histogram is positive but flattening, suggesting a potential slowdown in bullish momentum.
Additional Indicators
- **Fibonacci Retracement** (from recent swing low to high):
- Key levels: 23.6% ($109,850), 38.2% ($109,200), 50% ($108,900) - Price is currently testing the 23.6% retracement as support.
- **Bollinger Bands**:
- Price is near the middle band, indicating a neutral stance. - Bandwidth is narrowing, signaling reduced volatility and a potential breakout.
- **ATR (14)**:
- Current value: $2,450 (moderate volatility)
- **VWAP**:
- Trading slightly below VWAP, suggesting slight bearish pressure intraday.
- **Elliott Wave Analysis**:
- The market appears to be in Wave 4 correction of a larger bullish impulse. A breakout above $111,190 could confirm Wave 5 upside.
3. Trading Strategy
Recommendation
Given the current technical setup, a cautious **long position** is favored, with the following parameters:
| class="wikitable" | |
| Parameter | Value |
|---|---|
| Entry | $110,000 - $110,300 |
| Stop-Loss | $108,500 (below recent swing low) |
| Take-Profit | $112,500 (near resistance zone) |
| Position Size | 1-2% of capital per trade |
| Risk/Reward Ratio | 1:2.5 |
Rationale
- The price holding above MA(50) and EMA(50) supports a bullish bias.
- A break above $111,190 could accelerate upward momentum.
- The stop-loss is placed below the recent swing low to limit downside risk.
Final Thoughts
The BTC/USDT futures market is in a consolidation phase with a slight bullish edge. Traders should monitor key levels ($111,190 resistance and $108,500 support) for confirmation of the next move.
⚠️ *Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is recommended to conduct your own research before making investment decisions.* ⚠️
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