BTC/USDT Futures Trading Analysis - 1 January 2026

1. [[BTC/USDT Futures Trading]] Analysis — 1 January 2026

1. 1. 1. Market Overview

As of 1 January 2026, the [[BTC/USDT futures market]] shows the following key metrics:

- **Current Spot Price:** $87,694.11 - **Futures Price:** $87,666.00 - **24-Hour Change:** -0.87% - **Intraday High:** $89,200.00 - **Intraday Low:** $87,250.00

The market is currently in a slight downtrend, with futures trading at a minor discount to spot. The intraday range suggests consolidation after a recent pullback.

1. 1. 2. Technical Analysis

1. 1. 1. Key Indicators

Indicator Summary

Indicator	Value	Interpretation
MA(50)	$88,141.73	Price below MA(50) suggests bearish momentum
EMA(50)	$88,063.90	Confirms short-term downtrend
RSI(14)	30.85	Approaching oversold territory
MACD	-144.70	Bearish crossover persists

1. 1. 1. Additional Indicators

- **[[Fibonacci Retracement Levels]]:**

 - 23.6%: $88,500  
 - 38.2%: $89,100  
 - 50%: $89,700  
 - 61.8%: $90,300  
 - Current price is below the 23.6% level, indicating weakness.  

- **[[Bollinger Bands]]:**

 - Upper Band: $90,120  
 - Lower Band: $86,400  
 - Price near the lower band suggests potential oversold conditions.  

- **ATR (14):** $1,890

 - High volatility persists, requiring wider stop-loss margins.  

- **VWAP:** $88,200

 - Price below VWAP indicates bearish intraday bias.  

- **[[Elliott Wave Analysis]]:**

 - Likely in Wave C of a corrective ABC pattern.  
 - Potential downside target near $85,000 if support fails.  

1. 1. 3. Trading Strategy

1. 1. 1. Recommendation: **Short (Bearish Bias)**

- **Entry Point:** $87,600 (near current price) - **Stop-Loss:** $89,200 (above intraday high) - **Take-Profit:** $85,000 (key support level) - **Position Size:** 1-2% of capital per risk management rules - **Risk/Reward Ratio:** 1:2.5

1. 1. 1. Alternative Scenario (If Reversal Confirmed)

- **Long Entry:** Break above $89,200 with volume confirmation - **Stop-Loss:** $87,200 - **Take-Profit:** $91,500 (next resistance)

⚠️ *Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is recommended to conduct your own research before making investment decisions.* ⚠️

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