BTC/USDT Futures Trading Analysis - 13 07 2025
BTC/USDT Futures Trading Analysis - 13 July 2025
1. Market Overview
As of July 13, 2025, the BTC/USDT futures market shows moderate bullish momentum, with the current futures price at **$117,707.60**, slightly below the spot price of **$117,769.99**. The 24-hour change stands at **+0.07%**, indicating a consolidation phase after recent volatility. The intraday high touched **$118,200.00**, while the low was **$116,900.05**, suggesting strong support and resistance levels in play.
2. Technical Analysis
Key Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| MA(50) | $117,617.76 | Slight bullish bias (price above MA) |
| EMA(50) | $116,807.14 | Confirms bullish trend |
| RSI (14) | 57.86 | Neutral, no overbought/oversold signals |
| MACD | 87.51 | Bullish momentum persists |
Additional Indicators
- **Fibonacci Retracement Levels** (from recent swing low to high):
* 23.6%: $116,450 * 38.2%: $115,890 * 50%: $115,400 * 61.8%: $114,910 * Current price holding above 23.6%, indicating strength.
- **Bollinger Bands**:
* Upper Band: $118,900 * Lower Band: $115,200 * Price hovering near the middle band, suggesting consolidation.
- **ATR**: 1,200 (moderate volatility).
- **VWAP**: $117,300 (price above VWAP supports bullish sentiment).
Elliott Wave Analysis
The current structure suggests we are in **Wave 3** of an impulsive uptrend, with a target near **$120,000**. A corrective Wave 4 could follow, potentially retesting **$115,000** before resuming the uptrend.
3. Trading Strategy
Recommendation
- **Position**: Long
- **Entry Point**: $117,500 - $117,700 (near current levels)
- **Stop-Loss**: $116,400 (below recent swing low and 38.2% Fib level)
- **Take-Profit Targets**:
* TP1: $118,500 (near intraday high) * TP2: $120,000 (Wave 3 target)
- **Position Size**: 1-2% of capital per trade.
- **Risk/Reward Ratio**: 1:2 (conservative) to 1:3 (aggressive).
Risk Management
- Tighten stop-loss to breakeven if price reaches TP1.
- Monitor RSI for overbought conditions above 70.
Final Thoughts
BTC/USDT futures are in a bullish phase but may experience short-term consolidation. Traders should watch key levels ($116,400 support and $118,200 resistance) for breakout opportunities.
⚠️ *Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is recommended to conduct your own research before making investment decisions.* ⚠️
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