Analýza obchodování futures BTC/USDT - 24. listopadu 2025

Market Overview

As of 24 November 2025, the BTC/USDT futures market is showing moderate bullish momentum. The current spot price stands at $86,705.23, while the futures price is slightly lower at $86,665.30, indicating a minor discount in the futures market. Over the past 24 hours, the price has increased by 0.40%, with an intraday high of $88,127.64 and a low of $85,420.00. This range suggests that the market is experiencing some volatility, but the overall trend remains cautiously optimistic.

Technical Analysis

To gain a deeper understanding of the market dynamics, I analyzed several key technical indicators:

Moving Averages

The 50-day Moving Average (MA) is currently at $85,700.94, while the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is slightly higher at $86,367.14. The price is trading above both the MA and EMA, which is a bullish signal. This indicates that the short-term momentum is positive.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 51.63, which is in the neutral zone. This suggests that the market is neither overbought nor oversold, leaving room for potential upward movement.

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)

The MACD is currently at 392.81, which is above the signal line. This is a bullish signal, indicating that the momentum is in favor of the buyers.

Fibonacci Retracement

Using the intraday high and low, the key Fibonacci retracement levels are as follows:

23.6%

$86,145.00

38.2%

$85,935.00

50.0%

$85,773.82

61.8%

$85,612.64

The price is currently hovering around the 23.6% retracement level, which could act as a support zone.

Bollinger Bands

The Bollinger Bands show that the price is trading near the upper band, indicating that the market is in a bullish phase. However, the bands are not expanding significantly, suggesting limited volatility in the near term.

Average True Range (ATR)

The Average True Range (ATR) is currently at 1,200. This indicates that the market is moderately volatile, making it suitable for short-term trading strategies.

Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP)

The Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) is at $86,500. The price is trading slightly above the VWAP, which is a bullish signal. This suggests that the market is in a phase of accumulation.

Elliott Wave Analysis

Based on Elliott Wave Theory, the market appears to be in the third wave of an upward trend. This is typically the strongest and most extended wave, suggesting that there is potential for further upward movement.

Trading Strategy

Given the current market conditions, here is a recommended trading strategy:

Position

Given the bullish indicators, I recommend taking a long position.

Entry Point

An ideal entry point would be around the current price level of $86,665.30 or slightly lower, near the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $86,145.00.

Stop-Loss

A stop-loss should be placed just below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $85,935.00 to minimize potential losses.

Take-Profit

The take-profit target should be set near the intraday high of $88,127.64 or slightly higher, depending on market conditions.

Position Size

A position size of 1-2% of the total trading capital is recommended to manage risk effectively.

Risk/Reward Ratio

The risk/reward ratio for this trade is approximately 1:2, which is favorable for a long position.

Conclusion

The BTC/USDT futures market is showing bullish signals as of 24 November 2025. With the price trading above key moving averages and the MACD indicating positive momentum, there is potential for further upward movement. However, traders should remain cautious and manage risk effectively by using stop-loss orders and appropriate position sizing. Always remember to conduct your own research and consider market conditions before making any trading decisions.

⚠️ *Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is recommended to conduct your own research before making investment decisions.* ⚠️

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