BTC/USDT Futures Trading Analysis - 28 December 2025
BTC/USDT Futures Trading Analysis - 28 December 2025
1. Market Overview
As of 28 December 2025, the BTC/USDT futures market shows moderate bullish momentum, with the current futures price trading at **$87,680.10**, slightly below the spot price of **$87,723.38**. The 24-hour change stands at **+0.25%**, indicating a slow but steady upward trend. The intraday high was **$87,984.00**, while the low touched **$87,308.05**, suggesting a tight trading range.
Key observations: - The futures price is trading slightly below the spot, indicating mild bearish sentiment in the short term. - The narrow price range suggests consolidation before a potential breakout.
2. Technical Analysis
Moving Averages
| class="wikitable" | |
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| MA(50) | $87,802.45 |
| EMA(50) | $87,694.22 |
The price is currently hovering around the **50-day MA ($87,802.45)** and **50-day EMA ($87,694.22)**, indicating a neutral bias. A sustained move above the MA(50) could signal bullish momentum.
Oscillators
| class="wikitable" | |
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 58.95 |
| MACD | 37.01 |
- The **RSI (14) at 58.95** suggests moderate bullish momentum but is not yet overbought. - The **MACD (37.01)** shows a positive histogram, reinforcing the bullish bias.
Additional Indicators
- **Fibonacci Retracement** (from recent swing low to high):
- Key levels: 23.6% ($87,450), 38.2% ($87,200), 50% ($87,000). - Current price is above the 50% level, indicating bullish strength.
- **Bollinger Bands**:
- Price is near the middle band, suggesting consolidation. - A breakout above the upper band ($88,200) could signal an uptrend.
- **ATR (14)**: 320.50 – Low volatility, typical of consolidation phases. - **VWAP**: $87,550 – Price trading above VWAP supports a bullish bias. - **Elliott Wave Analysis**:
- The market appears to be in **Wave 3** of an impulsive bullish sequence. - A breakout above $88,000 could confirm the continuation of the uptrend.
3. Trading Strategy
Recommendation
- **Position**: Long - **Entry Point**: $87,600 - $87,700 (near EMA support) - **Stop-Loss**: $87,200 (below 38.2% Fibonacci level) - **Take-Profit Targets**:
- TP1: $88,200 (upper Bollinger Band) - TP2: $88,800 (next resistance zone)
- **Position Size**: 1-2% of capital per trade - **Risk/Reward Ratio**: 1:2.5
Rationale
- The price is holding above key support levels (EMA, Fibonacci 50%). - RSI and MACD support bullish momentum. - A breakout above $88,000 could accelerate buying pressure.
Final Thoughts
The BTC/USDT futures market is in a consolidation phase with a slight bullish bias. Traders should watch for a confirmed breakout above $88,000 to enter long positions. Always manage risk with proper stop-loss orders.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is recommended to conduct your own research before making investment decisions. ⚠️
Recommended Crypto Futures Exchanges
| Exchange | Futures Features | Sign-Up |
|---|---|---|
| Binance Futures | Up to 125x leverage, USDⓈ-M contracts | Register Now - CashBack 10% SPOT and Futures |
| Bybit Futures | Inverse perpetual contracts | Start Trading |
| BingX Futures | Copy-trading for futures | Join BingX |
| Bitget Futures | USDT-margined contracts | Open Account |
Join the community
Subscribe to our Telegram channel @strategybin. The most favorable exchange rate for VISA to cryptocurrencies..