BTC/USDT Futures Trading Analysis - 15 December 2025
Market Overview
As of 15 December 2025, the BTC/USDT futures market is showing a slight bearish momentum. The current spot price stands at $89,290.01, while the futures price is trading slightly lower at $89,243.20, indicating a mild backwardation. Over the past 24 hours, the market has seen a decline of -1.01%, with an intraday high of $90,280.01 and a low of $87,577.36. This price action suggests a period of consolidation within a defined range, with sellers slightly dominating the market.
Technical Analysis
The technical indicators provide a deeper insight into the current market dynamics. The MA(50) is at $89,765.00, while the EMA(50) is at $89,674.73, both acting as potential resistance levels. The RSI (14) is at 53.42, indicating a neutral market sentiment with no clear overbought or oversold conditions. The MACD is at -236.54, showing a bearish crossover, which suggests that the downward momentum may continue in the short term.
Additional indicators further enrich the analysis: - Fibonacci Retracement levels from the recent swing high to low are as follows: 23.6% at $88,900, 38.2% at $89,450, and 61.8% at $90,200. - Bollinger Bands show the price hovering near the middle band, indicating a lack of strong directional bias. - ATR is at $1,200, suggesting moderate volatility. - VWAP is at $89,500, acting as a key pivot level. - Elliott Wave Analysis suggests that the market is currently in Wave 4 of a larger corrective pattern, with Wave 5 potentially on the horizon.
Trading Strategy
Based on the current technical setup, here are my recommendations: - **Position**: Short - **Entry Point**: $89,200 (near the EMA(50) resistance) - **Stop-Loss**: $90,300 (above the intraday high) - **Take-Profit**: $87,000 (near the recent swing low) - **Position Size**: 1% of total capital to manage risk effectively. - **Risk/Reward Ratio**: 1:2.2
This strategy capitalizes on the bearish momentum indicated by the MACD and the resistance levels identified by the MA(50) and EMA(50). The stop-loss is placed above the intraday high to protect against unexpected upward movements, while the take-profit target aligns with the recent swing low, offering a favorable risk/reward ratio.
⚠️ *Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is recommended to conduct your own research before making investment decisions.* ⚠️
Recommended Crypto Futures Exchanges
| Exchange | Futures Features | Sign-Up |
|---|---|---|
| Binance Futures | Up to 125x leverage, USDⓈ-M contracts | Register Now - CashBack 10% SPOT and Futures |
| Bybit Futures | Inverse perpetual contracts | Start Trading |
| BingX Futures | Copy-trading for futures | Join BingX |
| Bitget Futures | USDT-margined contracts | Open Account |
Join the community
Subscribe to our Telegram channel @strategybin. The most favorable exchange rate for VISA to cryptocurrencies..