BTC/USDT Futures Trading Analysis - 18 November 2025
BTC/USDT Futures Trading Analysis - 18 November 2025
Market Overview
As of 18 November 2025, the BTC/USDT futures market is showing signs of bearish momentum. The current spot price stands at **$90,463.08**, while the futures price is slightly lower at **$90,443.80**, indicating a minor backwardation. The market has experienced a **4.87% decline** over the past 24 hours, with an intraday high of **$96,043.00** and a low of **$90,345.00**. This suggests strong selling pressure, as Bitcoin struggles to hold above key support levels.
Technical Analysis
Moving Averages
The **50-day Moving Average (MA)** is at **$94,424.10**, while the **50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA)** sits at **$94,113.21**. Both indicators are above the current price, reinforcing the bearish trend. The fact that the price is trading below these key moving averages suggests further downside potential.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The **RSI (14)** is at **24.76**, indicating that Bitcoin is in **oversold territory**. While this could signal a potential reversal, extreme oversold conditions in a strong downtrend may persist before any meaningful recovery.
MACD
The **MACD** is at **-1,033.67**, with the signal line below the MACD line, confirming bearish momentum. The histogram shows increasing negative values, suggesting that selling pressure is intensifying.
Additional Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Interpretation | Fibonacci retracement (from recent high) | 50%: $93,200 | 61.8%: $93,900 | Resistance levels to watch for potential pullbacks | Bollinger Bands | Upper Band: $97,800 | Price near lower band, indicating potential oversold conditions | Average True Range (ATR) | 2,450 | High volatility, suggesting sharp price movements | Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) | $93,100 | Price below VWAP, reinforcing bearish bias | Elliott Wave Analysis | Likely in Wave 3 of a bearish impulse | Further downside expected before corrective Wave 4 |
|---|
Trading Strategy
Given the current technical setup, the market favors a **short position**, but traders should remain cautious due to the oversold RSI.
Entry & Exit Points
- **Entry**: **$90,500** (current price zone)
- **Stop-Loss**: **$92,500** (above the 38.2% Fibonacci level)
- **Take-Profit**: **$86,000** (next major support level)
Position Sizing & Risk Management
- **Position Size**: 1-2% of capital per trade
- **Risk/Reward Ratio**: 1:2.5 (acceptable for high-probability setups)
Final Thoughts
Bitcoin is currently in a strong downtrend, with multiple technical indicators supporting further downside. However, the oversold RSI suggests that a short-term bounce could occur before the downtrend resumes. Traders should monitor key resistance levels, particularly around the **$92,500 - $93,900** Fibonacci zone, for potential reversals.
⚠️ *Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is recommended to conduct your own research before making investment decisions.* ⚠️
Recommended Crypto Futures Exchanges
| Exchange | Futures Features | Sign-Up |
|---|---|---|
| Binance Futures | Up to 125x leverage, USDⓈ-M contracts | Register Now - CashBack 10% SPOT and Futures |
| Bybit Futures | Inverse perpetual contracts | Start Trading |
| BingX Futures | Copy-trading for futures | Join BingX |
| Bitget Futures | USDT-margined contracts | Open Account |
Join the community
Subscribe to our Telegram channel @strategybin. The most favorable exchange rate for VISA to cryptocurrencies..