BTC/USDT Terminshandelsanalys - 27 oktober 2025

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Market Overview

As of 27 October 2025, the BTC/USDT futures market is exhibiting strong bullish momentum, with the current spot price at $114,929.18 and the futures price slightly lower at $114,880.70. The market has seen a significant 24-hour change of +3.14%, reflecting heightened buying pressure. Intraday price action has ranged between a low of $111,260.46 and a high of $115,466.80, indicating volatile yet upward-trending conditions.

Technical Analysis

Moving Averages

The 50-period Moving Average (MA) is currently at $112,398.09, while the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) sits at $112,671.56. Both indicators suggest a strong support level, as the price remains well above these averages, reinforcing the bullish trend.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI (14) is at 67.05, indicating that BTC/USDT is approaching overbought territory but still has room for upward movement before hitting extreme levels.

MACD

The MACD line is at 777.19, showing a bullish crossover and increasing momentum, which aligns with the overall uptrend.

Fibonacci Retracement

Using the recent swing low of $111,260.46 and the high of $115,466.80, the key Fibonacci retracement levels are:

Fibonacci Levels
0.236 $114,200.00 0.382 $113,800.00 0.500 $113,363.63 0.618 $112,927.26

These levels act as potential support zones in case of a pullback.

Bollinger Bands

The Bollinger Bands show the price hugging the upper band, indicating strong bullish momentum. The bands are widening, suggesting increased volatility.

Average True Range (ATR)

The ATR is at $2,100, reflecting heightened volatility, which is typical during strong trending phases.

Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP)

The VWAP is at $113,500, serving as a dynamic support level and confirming the bullish bias.

Elliott Wave Analysis

The current price action appears to be in Wave 3 of a five-wave upward impulse, which is typically the strongest and most extended wave. This further supports the bullish outlook.

Trading Strategy

Position Recommendation

Given the strong bullish indicators, a long position is recommended.

Entry Point

An ideal entry point would be near the $114,000 level, aligning with the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement and VWAP support.

Stop-Loss

Place the stop-loss at $112,500, just below the 0.382 Fibonacci level and the 50-period MA, to minimize risk.

Take-Profit

Target the $117,000 level, which is near the psychological resistance and aligns with the projected Wave 3 extension.

Position Size

Allocate 2-3% of your portfolio to this trade to manage risk effectively.

Risk/Reward Ratio

The risk/reward ratio is approximately 1:3, offering a favorable setup for potential gains.

⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is recommended to conduct your own research before making investment decisions. ⚠️

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