BTC/USDT Futures Kereskedelem Elemzése – 2025. október 8.
BTC/USDT Futures Trading Analysis - 8 October 2025
1. Market Overview
As of 8 October 2025, the BTC/USDT futures market is showing notable movements. The current spot price stands at $121718.99, while the futures price is slightly lower at $121681.60, indicating a mild backwardation. Over the past 24 hours, the market has experienced a decline of 2.23%, with prices oscillating between an intraday high of $125126.00 and a low of $120574.94. This volatility highlights the sensitivity of the market to broader macroeconomic factors and investor sentiment.
2. Technical Analysis
The technical indicators provide a comprehensive view of the current market dynamics:
Moving Averages
The MA(50) is currently at $123695.52, while the EMA(50) is slightly lower at $123061.84. Both indicators suggest a bearish trend, as the price is trading below these levels.
Relative Strength Index
The RSI (14) is at 31.41, indicating that BTC/USDT is nearing oversold territory. This could potentially signal a reversal if buyer momentum increases.
MACD
The MACD stands at -611.12, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. The negative value indicates that the short-term momentum is weaker than the long-term momentum.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Using the intraday high and low, the Fibonacci retracement levels are as follows:
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 23.6% | $122230.45 |
| 38.2% | $122850.47 |
| 50% | $123350.47 |
| 61.8% | $123850.47 |
These levels can act as potential support or resistance zones.
Bollinger Bands
The Bollinger Bands show that the price is currently near the lower band, suggesting that the market may be oversold. A bounce off this level could indicate a potential reversal.
Average True Range
The ATR is at $2350.12, reflecting the high volatility in the market. Traders should account for this in their risk management strategies.
Volume Weighted Average Price
The VWAP is at $122450.50, which is slightly above the current price. This indicates that the market is trading below the average price weighted by volume, suggesting bearish sentiment.
Elliott Wave Analysis
The Elliott Wave Theory suggests that the market is currently in wave 3 of a corrective phase. This wave is typically the longest and strongest, aligning with the current downward momentum.
3. Trading Strategy
Based on the technical analysis, here are my recommendations:
Position
Given the bearish indicators, a short position is recommended.
Entry Point
An entry point around $121700.00 aligns with the current futures price.
Stop-Loss
Set a stop-loss at $123500.00 to limit potential losses if the market reverses.
Take-Profit
A take-profit level at $118000.00 offers a favorable risk/reward ratio.
Position Size
Allocate no more than 2% of your portfolio to this trade to manage risk effectively.
Risk/Reward Ratio
The risk/reward ratio for this trade is approximately 1:3, which is favorable for short-term trading.
Conclusion
The BTC/USDT futures market on 8 October 2025 is exhibiting bearish tendencies, supported by multiple technical indicators. Traders should consider a short position with careful risk management to capitalize on potential downward movements. As always, conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making any trading decisions.
⚠️ *Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is recommended to conduct your own research before making investment decisions.* ⚠️
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Recommended Crypto Futures Exchanges
| Exchange | Futures Features | Sign-Up |
|---|---|---|
| Binance Futures | Up to 125x leverage, USDⓈ-M contracts | Register Now - CashBack 10% SPOT and Futures |
| Bybit Futures | Inverse perpetual contracts | Start Trading |
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| Bitget Futures | USDT-margined contracts | Open Account |
Join the community
Subscribe to our Telegram channel @strategybin. The most favorable exchange rate for VISA to cryptocurrencies..