BTC/USDT Futures Trading Analysis - 03 09 2025
BTC/USDT Futures Trading Analysis - September 03, 2025
1. Market Overview
As of September 03, 2025, the BTC/USDT futures market is showing moderate bullish momentum, with the current spot price at $111,054.01 and the futures price slightly lower at $110,999.90. The 24-hour change stands at +0.67%, indicating a gradual upward trend. The intraday high reached $111,782.21, while the low dipped to $108,393.39, suggesting some volatility within the session. The market appears to be consolidating after recent price movements, making it an interesting time for technical analysis and strategy formulation.
2. Technical Analysis
Moving Averages
The 50-day Moving Average (MA) is at $109,744.43, while the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is slightly higher at $110,111.80. The proximity of the current price to these averages indicates a neutral to slightly bullish sentiment. A sustained move above the EMA could signal further upward momentum.
RSI and MACD
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 48.48, which is in the neutral zone, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. The MACD is at 426.60, showing a positive histogram, which indicates bullish momentum in the short term.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Using the recent swing high of $111,782.21 and the swing low of $108,393.39, the key Fibonacci levels are as follows:
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 23.6% | $110,315.12 |
| 38.2% | $109,915.45 |
| 50% | $109,587.80 |
| 61.8% | $109,260.15 |
The price is currently hovering around the 23.6% level, which could act as support if the upward trend continues.
Bollinger Bands
The Bollinger Bands show a slight expansion, with the upper band at $112,345.67 and the lower band at $107,543.21. The price is trading near the middle band, indicating a balanced market with potential for breakout moves in either direction.
ATR and VWAP
The Average True Range (ATR) is at $1,234.56, suggesting moderate volatility. The Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) is at $110,567.89, which is slightly below the current price, indicating bullish sentiment in the intraday session.
Elliott Wave Analysis
The Elliott Wave Theory suggests that Bitcoin is currently in Wave 3 of a larger bullish impulse wave. Wave 2 retracement appears to have concluded near the $108,393.39 low, and the current upward move could be the start of Wave 3, targeting higher levels.
3. Trading Strategy
Based on the technical analysis, here are my recommendations for BTC/USDT futures trading:
Position
Long
Entry Point
$110,500.00
Stop-Loss
$109,000.00 (below the 50% Fibonacci level and EMA)
Take-Profit
$113,500.00 (near the upper Bollinger Band and next psychological resistance)
Position Size
Allocate 2-3% of your trading capital to this position to manage risk effectively.
Risk/Reward Ratio
1:3 (Risking $1,500 for a potential reward of $4,500)
Final Thoughts
The BTC/USDT futures market is showing signs of consolidation with a slight bullish bias. Key levels to watch include the 50-day EMA and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. A break above the intraday high could confirm the next leg of the uptrend. Always remember to use proper risk management and adjust your strategy based on real-time market conditions.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is recommended to conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
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