BTC/USDT Futures Trading Analysis – January 14, 2025

BTC/USDT Futures Trading Analysis – January 14, 2025

Market Overview

- **Bitcoin Spot Price:** 95,365 USD (+2.35% in the last 24 hours) 📈 - **24-hour Trading Volume:** 18.06 billion USD 💰

Economic Events Impact

- **Producer Price Index (PPI) for December 2024:**

 - Monthly Change: +0.4% (forecast: +0.3%)  
 - Annual Change: +3.0% (forecast: +3.3%)  

- **NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for December 2024:** 101.7 (previous: 100.8)

• Source: Investing.com*

Technical Analysis

Daily Timeframe

- **Moving Averages (MA and EMA):**

 - MA(50): 95,000 USD  
 - MA(200): 90,000 USD  
 - EMA(50): 94,500 USD  
 - EMA(200): 89,500 USD  

- **Indicators:**

 - RSI: 55 (neutral zone) ⚖️  
 - MACD: positive crossover (bullish signal) 🔼  

- **Support and Resistance Levels:**

 - Support: 90,000 USD  
 - Resistance: 98,000 USD  

- **Bollinger Bands:** expanding (indicating increased volatility) ⚡ - **Elliott Wave Analysis:** possible start of a new impulsive wave 🌊

Hourly Timeframe

- **RSI:** 48 (neutral) - **MACD:** bearish crossover 📉 - **Chart Pattern:** "Head and Shoulders" at 93,200 USD 🚨 (potential sell signal)

Volume Analysis

- **Open Interest:** 10 billion USD (60% long positions, 40% short positions) - **Liquidations in the last 24 hours:**

 - Total: 200 million USD 💥  
 - Long Positions: 120 million USD 🔴  
 - Short Positions: 80 million USD 🟢  

• Source: Coinglass*

Options

- **Next Expiration Date:** January 15, 2025 - **Open Interest Volume:** 5 billion USD - **Call/Put Ratio:** 1.2 (dominance of call options) - **Max Pain Level:** 94,000 USD - **Key Strike Prices:**

 - 90,000 USD  
 - 95,000 USD  
 - 100,000 USD  

• Source: Deribit*

Trading Strategy

- **Recommended Position:** Short (Sell) 📉 - **Entry Point:** 93,500 USD - **Take-Profit (target):** 92,000 USD ✅ - **Stop-Loss:** 94,500 USD ❌ - **Leverage:** 20x ⚙️

• • Profit Calculation:**

- **Position Size:** 1,000 USDT * 20 = 20,000 USDT - **Expected Profit:**

 - Price Difference: 93,500 USD - 92,000 USD = 1,500 USD  
 - Profit: 20,000 USDT * (1,500 USD / 93,500 USD) ≈ 321 USD  

- **Expected Loss:**

 - Price Difference: 94,500 USD - 93,500 USD = 1,000 USD  
 - Loss: 20,000 USDT * (1,000 USD / 93,500 USD) ≈ 214 USD  

Conclusion

BTC/USDT remains in a zone of high volatility. It is recommended to monitor key levels and evaluate short-term signals. If the price **breaks above 95,300 USD**, it may rise to **98,000 USD** and further to **100,000 USD**. If the price falls to **92,000 USD**, a test of the **90,000 USD** support level is likely.

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