BTC/USDT Futures Trading Analysis – January 13, 2025

BTC/USDT Futures Trading Analysis – January 13, 2025

Market Overview

- **Spot Price:** 94,617 USD (+0.04% in the last 24 hours) 📈 - **Futures Price:** 94,617 USD (+0.04% in the last 24 hours) 📈 - **24-Hour Trading Volume:** 18.84 billion USD 💰

• Source: Binance*

Economic Events Impact

- **Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision:** +0.25% 📈 (to control inflation) - **US Inflation Rate for December:** 3.2% vs. 3.0% forecast ⚠️

• Source: Investing.com*

Technical Analysis

Daily Timeframe

- **Moving Averages (MA and EMA):**

 - MA(50): 95,000 USD 📊  
 - MA(200): 90,000 USD 📉  
 - EMA(50): 94,500 USD  
 - EMA(200): 89,500 USD  

- **Indicators:**

 - RSI: 55 (neutral zone) ⚖️  
 - MACD: above the signal line (bullish signal) 🔼  

- **Fibonacci Levels:**

 - 38.2%: 92,000 USD  
 - 50%: 90,000 USD  
 - 61.8%: 88,000 USD  

- **Bollinger Bands:** expanding (indicating increased volatility) ⚡ - **Elliott Wave Analysis:** potential start of the fourth corrective wave 🌊

Hourly Timeframe

- **Moving Averages (MA and EMA):**

 - MA(50): 93,800 USD  
 - EMA(50): 93,700 USD  

- **Indicators:**

 - RSI: 48 (neutral) 🤔  
 - MACD: below the signal line (short-term bearish signal) 📉  

- **Chart Pattern:** "Head and Shoulders" at 93,200 USD 🚨 (potential bearish signal)

Trading Volume Analysis

Open Interest and Liquidations

According to Coinglass: - **Open Interest:** 10 billion USD (60% long positions, 40% short positions) - **Liquidations in the last 24 hours:**

 - Total: 200 million USD 💥  
 - Long Positions: 120 million USD 🔴  
 - Short Positions: 80 million USD 🟢  

Options Data

According to Deribit: - **Next Expiration Date:** January 15, 2025 - **Total Open Interest Volume:** 5 billion USD - **Call/Put Ratio:** 1.2 (call options dominant) - **Max Pain Level:** 94,000 USD - **Key Strike Prices:**

 - 90,000 USD  
 - 95,000 USD  
 - 100,000 USD  

Trading Strategy

- **Recommended Position:** Short (sell) 📉 - **Entry Point:** 93,500 USD - **Take-profit (profit target):** 92,000 USD ✅ - **Stop-loss:** 94,500 USD ❌ - **Leverage:** 20x ⚙️

• • Profit Calculation:**

- **Position Size:** 1,000 USDT * 20 = 20,000 USDT - **Potential Profit:**

 - Price Difference: 93,500 USD - 92,000 USD = 1,500 USD  
 - Profit: 20,000 USDT * (1,500 USD / 93,500 USD) ≈ 321 USD  

- **Potential Loss:**

 - Price Difference: 94,500 USD - 93,500 USD = 1,000 USD  
 - Loss: 20,000 USDT * (1,000 USD / 93,500 USD) ≈ 214 USD  

Conclusion

BTC/USDT remains in a zone of high volatility. It is recommended to monitor key price levels closely and assess short-term signals. If the price **exceeds 95,300 USD**, it may reach **98,000 USD** and later **100,000 USD**. If the price drops to **92,000 USD**, a test of the support level at **90,000 USD** is possible.

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