Analisis Perdagangan Berjangka BTC/USDT - 19 Februari 2025
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BTC/USDT Futures Trading Analysis - 19 02 2025
1. Market Overview
As of February 19, 2025, the BTC/USDT futures market shows a steady upward trend. The current spot price of Bitcoin is $96,246.34, while the futures price is slightly lower at $96,205.70, indicating a mild backwardation. The 24-hour change stands at +0.74%, with an intraday high of $96,753.91 and a low of $93,388.09. The market remains volatile, with significant price swings observed within the day.
2. Technical Analysis
Moving Averages
The 50-day Moving Average (MA) is at $95,630.99, and the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at $95,774.59. Both indicators suggest a bullish trend, as the current price remains above these levels.
RSI and MACD
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 59.25, indicating a neutral to slightly bullish sentiment. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is at 198.67, reinforcing the bullish momentum.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Key Fibonacci retracement levels from the recent swing low to high are:
- 23.6%: $94,500.12
- 38.2%: $93,800.45
- 50%: $93,200.00
- 61.8%: $92,600.55
Bollinger Bands
The Bollinger Bands show a width of $2,500, indicating moderate volatility. The price is currently near the upper band, suggesting potential overbought conditions.
ATR and VWAP
The Average True Range (ATR) is at $1,200, indicating significant intraday volatility. The Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) is at $95,800, aligning with the bullish sentiment.
Elliott Wave Analysis
The Elliott Wave analysis suggests we are in Wave 3 of a larger bullish impulse. This wave is typically the strongest, indicating potential for further upside.
3. Trading Volume Analysis
The open interest stands at $18.3 billion USD, reflecting strong market participation. Long liquidations amounted to $1.7 billion, while short liquidations were $0.8 billion. Options data shows a max pain level at $19,500, with a call/put ratio of 1.2, indicating a slight preference for call options.
4. Trading Strategy
Recommendations
- **Position**: Long
- **Entry Point**: $96,000
- **Stop-Loss**: $93,500
- **Take-Profit**: $100,000
- **Position Size**: 2% of portfolio
- **Risk/Reward Ratio**: 1:2
5. Fundamental Analysis
Recent market developments include increased institutional investments in Bitcoin, driven by its growing acceptance as a hedge against inflation. Price predictions remain bullish, with analysts forecasting a potential rise to $120,000 by mid-2025. Key news items are currently unavailable, but market sentiment remains positive.
6. Recommended Platforms
Below is a comparison of major crypto futures platforms:
| Platform | Fees | Leverage | Registration Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| Binance | Low | Up to 125x | Binance Futures |
| Bybit | Medium | Up to 100x | Bybit Futures |
| Kraken | High | Up to 50x | Kraken Futures |
For more detailed strategies, visit Technical Analysis Strategies and Risk Management in Crypto Trading.
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Recommended Crypto Futures Exchanges
| Exchange | Futures Features | Sign-Up |
|---|---|---|
| Binance Futures | Up to 125x leverage, USDⓈ-M contracts | Register Now |
| Bybit Futures | Inverse perpetual contracts | Start Trading |
| BingX Futures | Copy-trading for futures | Join BingX |
| Bitget Futures | USDT-margined contracts | Open Account |
Join the community
Subscribe to our Telegram channel @strategybin. Sign up at the most profitable crypto exchange.
Recommended Crypto Futures Exchanges
| Exchange | Futures Features | Sign-Up |
|---|---|---|
| Binance Futures | Up to 125x leverage, USDⓈ-M contracts | Register Now |
| Bybit Futures | Inverse perpetual contracts | Start Trading |
| BingX Futures | Copy-trading for futures | Join BingX |
| Bitget Futures | USDT-margined contracts | Open Account |
Join the community
Subscribe to our Telegram channel @strategybin. Sign up at the most profitable crypto exchange.