Difference between revisions of "BTC/USDT futuuride kaubanduse analüüs - 02.07.2025"
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== Market Overview == | == Market Overview == | ||
As of July 02, 2025, the BTC/USDT futures market is showing signs of consolidation after a recent downtrend. The current spot price stands at $105,640.92, while the futures price is slightly lower at $105,589.20, indicating a minor backwardation. Over the past 24 hours, the market has experienced a decline of 1.36%, with the intraday high reaching $107,410.74 and the low touching $105,100.19. This price action suggests a bearish sentiment in the short term, but key technical indicators and levels may provide insights into potential reversals or continuations. | As of July 02, 2025, the [[[[BTC/USDT futures]] market]] is showing signs of consolidation after a recent downtrend. The current spot price stands at $105,640.92, while the futures price is slightly lower at $105,589.20, indicating a minor backwardation. Over the past 24 hours, the market has experienced a decline of 1.36%, with the intraday high reaching $107,410.74 and the low touching $105,100.19. This price action suggests a bearish sentiment in the short term, but key technical indicators and levels may provide insights into potential reversals or continuations. | ||
== Technical Analysis == | == Technical Analysis == | ||
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The [[MACD]] is currently at -419.30, with the MACD line below the signal line. This confirms the bearish momentum in the market. Traders should watch for a crossover or convergence as a potential signal for a trend reversal. | The [[MACD]] is currently at -419.30, with the MACD line below the signal line. This confirms the bearish momentum in the market. Traders should watch for a crossover or convergence as a potential signal for a trend reversal. | ||
=== Fibonacci Retracement Levels === | === [[[[Fibonacci Retracement]] Levels]] === | ||
Using the recent swing high of $107,410.74 and the swing low of $105,100.19, the key [[Fibonacci retracement]] levels are as follows: | Using the recent swing high of $107,410.74 and the swing low of $105,100.19, the key [[Fibonacci retracement]] levels are as follows: | ||
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The [[Bollinger Bands]] show the price trading near the lower band, indicating potential oversold conditions. A bounce off the lower band could signal a short-term reversal, while a break below could lead to further downside. | The [[Bollinger Bands]] show the price trading near the lower band, indicating potential oversold conditions. A bounce off the lower band could signal a short-term reversal, while a break below could lead to further downside. | ||
=== Average True Range (ATR) === | === [[[[Average True Range]] (ATR)]] === | ||
The 14-day [[Average True Range]] (ATR) is currently at $1,200, suggesting moderate volatility. Traders should adjust their position sizes accordingly to manage risk. | The 14-day [[Average True Range]] (ATR) is currently at $1,200, suggesting moderate volatility. Traders should adjust their position sizes accordingly to manage risk. | ||
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The [[VWAP]] is at $106,200, which is above the current price. This indicates that the market is trading at a discount, which could attract buyers if the price approaches this level. | The [[VWAP]] is at $106,200, which is above the current price. This indicates that the market is trading at a discount, which could attract buyers if the price approaches this level. | ||
=== Elliott Wave Analysis === | === [[Elliott Wave Analysis]] === | ||
The [[Elliott Wave]] analysis suggests that the market is in the third wave of a corrective pattern. This wave is typically the most extended, and traders should watch for a completion of this wave before considering a reversal. | The [[Elliott Wave]] analysis suggests that the market is in the third wave of a corrective pattern. This wave is typically the most extended, and traders should watch for a completion of this wave before considering a reversal. | ||
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=== Entry Point === | === Entry Point === | ||
For a short position, consider entering near the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $105,833.45. For a long position, wait for a break above the 50-day MA at $107,010.59. | For a short position, consider entering near the 23.6% [[[[Fibonacci retracement]] level]] at $105,833.45. For a long position, wait for a break above the 50-day MA at $107,010.59. | ||
=== Stop-Loss === | === Stop-Loss === | ||
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⚠️ *Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is recommended to conduct your own research before making investment decisions.* ⚠️ | ⚠️ *Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is recommended to conduct your own research before making investment decisions.* ⚠️ | ||
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* [https://buy.paybis.com/MCfWIf Paybis (crypto exchanger)] — Buy/sell crypto via card or bank transfer. | |||
* [https://accounts.binance.com/register?ref=V2WQ1AZO Binance] — Exchange (spot/futures). | |||
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[[Category:BTC/USDT Futures Trading Analysis]] | [[Category:BTC/USDT Futures Trading Analysis]] | ||
== Recommended Crypto Futures Exchanges == | == Recommended [[Crypto [[Futures Exchanges]]]] == | ||
{| class="wikitable" | {| class="wikitable" | ||
! Exchange | ! Exchange | ||
Latest revision as of 00:38, 8 January 2026
Market Overview
As of July 02, 2025, the [[BTC/USDT futures market]] is showing signs of consolidation after a recent downtrend. The current spot price stands at $105,640.92, while the futures price is slightly lower at $105,589.20, indicating a minor backwardation. Over the past 24 hours, the market has experienced a decline of 1.36%, with the intraday high reaching $107,410.74 and the low touching $105,100.19. This price action suggests a bearish sentiment in the short term, but key technical indicators and levels may provide insights into potential reversals or continuations.
Technical Analysis
Moving Averages
The 50-day Moving Average (MA) is currently at $107,010.59, while the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at $106,684.70. Both indicators are above the current price, signaling a bearish trend. The price is struggling to break above these levels, which could act as resistance in the near term.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 38.15, indicating that the market is approaching oversold territory. While this could suggest a potential reversal, it is important to wait for confirmation from other indicators or price action.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)
The MACD is currently at -419.30, with the MACD line below the signal line. This confirms the bearish momentum in the market. Traders should watch for a crossover or convergence as a potential signal for a trend reversal.
[[Fibonacci Retracement Levels]]
Using the recent swing high of $107,410.74 and the swing low of $105,100.19, the key Fibonacci retracement levels are as follows:
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 23.6% | $105,833.45 |
| 38.2% | $106,058.12 |
| 50% | $106,255.47 |
| 61.8% | $106,452.82 |
| 78.6% | $106,677.49 |
The price is currently testing the 23.6% retracement level, which could act as immediate resistance.
Bollinger Bands
The Bollinger Bands show the price trading near the lower band, indicating potential oversold conditions. A bounce off the lower band could signal a short-term reversal, while a break below could lead to further downside.
[[Average True Range (ATR)]]
The 14-day Average True Range (ATR) is currently at $1,200, suggesting moderate volatility. Traders should adjust their position sizes accordingly to manage risk.
Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP)
The VWAP is at $106,200, which is above the current price. This indicates that the market is trading at a discount, which could attract buyers if the price approaches this level.
Elliott Wave Analysis
The Elliott Wave analysis suggests that the market is in the third wave of a corrective pattern. This wave is typically the most extended, and traders should watch for a completion of this wave before considering a reversal.
Trading Strategy
Position Recommendation
Given the current bearish momentum and key resistance levels, a short position is recommended for aggressive traders. However, conservative traders may wait for a confirmed reversal signal before entering a long position.
Entry Point
For a short position, consider entering near the 23.6% [[Fibonacci retracement level]] at $105,833.45. For a long position, wait for a break above the 50-day MA at $107,010.59.
Stop-Loss
For a short position, place a stop-loss just above the 38.2% Fibonacci level at $106,058.12. For a long position, set a stop-loss below the recent low at $105,100.19.
Take-Profit
For a short position, target the recent low at $105,100.19. For a long position, aim for the 78.6% Fibonacci level at $106,677.49.
Position Size
Risk no more than 1-2% of your trading capital on this trade. Adjust the position size based on the distance between the entry point and stop-loss.
Risk/Reward Ratio
The risk/reward ratio for the short position is approximately 1:2, while the long position offers a ratio of 1:1.5. Both setups provide favorable risk/reward profiles.
⚠️ *Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is recommended to conduct your own research before making investment decisions.* ⚠️
Sponsored links
- Paybis (crypto exchanger) — Buy/sell crypto via card or bank transfer.
- Binance — Exchange (spot/futures).
- Bybit — Exchange (futures tools).
- BingX — Exchange and derivatives.
- Bitget — Exchange (derivatives).
Recommended [[Crypto Futures Exchanges]]
| Exchange | Futures Features | Sign-Up |
|---|---|---|
| Binance Futures | Up to 125x leverage, USDⓈ-M contracts | Register Now - CashBack 10% SPOT and Futures |
| Bybit Futures | Inverse perpetual contracts | Start Trading |
| BingX Futures | Copy-trading for futures | Join BingX |
| Bitget Futures | USDT-margined contracts | Open Account |
| BitMEX | Crypto Trading Platform up to 100x leverage | BitMEX |
Join the community
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Recommended Crypto Futures Exchanges
| Exchange | Futures Features | Sign-Up |
|---|---|---|
| Binance Futures | Up to 125x leverage, USDⓈ-M contracts | Register Now - CashBack 10% SPOT and Futures |
| Bybit Futures | Inverse perpetual contracts | Start Trading |
| BingX Futures | Copy-trading for futures | Join BingX |
| Bitget Futures | USDT-margined contracts | Open Account |
| BitMEX | Crypto Trading Platform up to 100x leverage | BitMEX |
Join the community
Subscribe to our Telegram channel @strategybin. Sign up at the most profitable crypto exchange.