Difference between revisions of "BTC/USDT Terminshandelsanalys - 12 oktober 2025"
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== Market Overview == | == Market Overview == | ||
As of 12 October 2025, the BTC/USDT futures market is showing signs of bearish momentum. The current spot price stands at $110,557.40, while the futures price is slightly lower at $110,531.30, indicating a mild backwardation. Over the past 24 hours, the market has experienced a decline of 2.11%, with the intraday high reaching $112,991.16 and the low dipping to $109,561.59. This price action suggests increased volatility and potential continuation of the downtrend. | As of 12 October 2025, the [[[[BTC/USDT futures]] market]] is showing signs of bearish momentum. The current spot price stands at $110,557.40, while the futures price is slightly lower at $110,531.30, indicating a mild backwardation. Over the past 24 hours, the market has experienced a decline of 2.11%, with the intraday high reaching $112,991.16 and the low dipping to $109,561.59. This price action suggests increased volatility and potential continuation of the downtrend. | ||
== Technical Analysis == | == Technical Analysis == | ||
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The [[MACD]] indicator shows a value of -1,185.53, with the histogram trending downward. This confirms the bearish momentum and suggests that sellers are in control. | The [[MACD]] indicator shows a value of -1,185.53, with the histogram trending downward. This confirms the bearish momentum and suggests that sellers are in control. | ||
=== Fibonacci Retracement Levels === | === [[[[Fibonacci Retracement]] Levels]] === | ||
Using the recent swing high ($112,991.16) and swing low ($109,561.59), the key [[Fibonacci retracement]] levels are: | Using the recent swing high ($112,991.16) and swing low ($109,561.59), the key [[Fibonacci retracement]] levels are: | ||
{| class="wikitable" | {| class="wikitable" | ||
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The price is currently hovering near the 23.6% retracement level, which could act as resistance. | The price is currently hovering near the 23.6% retracement level, which could act as resistance. | ||
=== Bollinger Bands === | === [[Bollinger Bands]] === | ||
The [[Bollinger Bands]] show the price trading near the lower band, indicating oversold conditions. However, the bands are widening, suggesting increased volatility. | The [[Bollinger Bands]] show the price trading near the lower band, indicating oversold conditions. However, the bands are widening, suggesting increased volatility. | ||
=== Average True Range === | === [[Average True Range]] === | ||
The [[Average True Range]] (ATR) is at 2,345.67, reflecting heightened market volatility. Traders should adjust their position sizes accordingly. | The [[Average True Range]] (ATR) is at 2,345.67, reflecting heightened market volatility. Traders should adjust their position sizes accordingly. | ||
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The [[Volume Weighted Average Price]] (VWAP) is at $111,890.45, which aligns closely with the 38.2% Fibonacci level. This reinforces its significance as a resistance zone. | The [[Volume Weighted Average Price]] (VWAP) is at $111,890.45, which aligns closely with the 38.2% Fibonacci level. This reinforces its significance as a resistance zone. | ||
=== Elliott Wave Analysis === | === [[Elliott Wave Analysis]] === | ||
Based on [[Elliott Wave Theory]], the market appears to be in Wave 3 of a larger bearish impulse. This wave is typically the strongest and longest, suggesting further downside potential. | Based on [[Elliott Wave Theory]], the market appears to be in Wave 3 of a larger bearish impulse. This wave is typically the strongest and longest, suggesting further downside potential. | ||
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== Conclusion == | == Conclusion == | ||
The BTC/USDT futures market is exhibiting strong bearish momentum, supported by key technical indicators such as moving averages, RSI, MACD, and Elliott Wave analysis. Traders should consider short positions with careful risk management. Always remember to conduct your own research and adjust strategies based on real-time market conditions. | The BTC/USDT futures market is exhibiting strong bearish momentum, supported by key technical indicators such as moving averages, RSI, MACD, and [[Elliott Wave analysis]]. Traders should consider short positions with careful risk management. Always remember to conduct your own research and adjust strategies based on real-time market conditions. | ||
⚠️ *Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is recommended to conduct your own research before making investment decisions.* ⚠️ | ⚠️ *Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is recommended to conduct your own research before making investment decisions.* ⚠️ | ||
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[[Category:BTC/USDT Futures Trading Analysis]] | [[Category:BTC/USDT Futures Trading Analysis]] | ||
== Recommended Crypto Futures Exchanges == | == Recommended [[Crypto [[Futures Exchanges]]]] == | ||
{| class="wikitable" | {| class="wikitable" | ||
! Exchange | ! Exchange | ||
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! Sign-Up | ! Sign-Up | ||
|- | |- | ||
| Binance Futures | | [[Binance Futures]] | ||
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Latest revision as of 22:30, 7 January 2026
Market Overview
As of 12 October 2025, the [[BTC/USDT futures market]] is showing signs of bearish momentum. The current spot price stands at $110,557.40, while the futures price is slightly lower at $110,531.30, indicating a mild backwardation. Over the past 24 hours, the market has experienced a decline of 2.11%, with the intraday high reaching $112,991.16 and the low dipping to $109,561.59. This price action suggests increased volatility and potential continuation of the downtrend.
Technical Analysis
Let’s dive into the key technical indicators to better understand the market dynamics.
Moving Averages
The 50-day Moving Average (MA) is currently at $114,854.12, while the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for the same period is at $114,120.32. Both indicators are above the current price, signaling a bearish trend. The price is struggling to break above these levels, which now act as resistance.
Relative Strength Index
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 34.63, indicating that the market is approaching oversold territory but still has room for further downside before reaching extreme levels.
MACD
The MACD indicator shows a value of -1,185.53, with the histogram trending downward. This confirms the bearish momentum and suggests that sellers are in control.
[[Fibonacci Retracement Levels]]
Using the recent swing high ($112,991.16) and swing low ($109,561.59), the key Fibonacci retracement levels are:
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 23.6% | $111,234.12 |
| 38.2% | $111,890.45 |
| 50% | $112,276.38 |
| 61.8% | $112,662.30 |
The price is currently hovering near the 23.6% retracement level, which could act as resistance.
Bollinger Bands
The Bollinger Bands show the price trading near the lower band, indicating oversold conditions. However, the bands are widening, suggesting increased volatility.
Average True Range
The Average True Range (ATR) is at 2,345.67, reflecting heightened market volatility. Traders should adjust their position sizes accordingly.
Volume Weighted Average Price
The Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) is at $111,890.45, which aligns closely with the 38.2% Fibonacci level. This reinforces its significance as a resistance zone.
Elliott Wave Analysis
Based on Elliott Wave Theory, the market appears to be in Wave 3 of a larger bearish impulse. This wave is typically the strongest and longest, suggesting further downside potential.
Trading Strategy
Given the current technical setup, here are my recommendations:
Position
Short position is favored due to the bearish momentum and key resistance levels overhead.
Entry Point
An ideal entry point would be near the 38.2% Fibonacci level at $111,890.45, which coincides with the VWAP.
Stop Loss
Set a stop loss just above the 50% Fibonacci level at $112,276.38 to minimize risk.
Take Profit
Target the recent swing low at $109,561.59 as the initial take-profit level. A secondary target could be the lower Bollinger Band at $108,900.00.
Position Size
Allocate no more than 2% of your trading capital to this position, given the high volatility indicated by the ATR.
Risk/Reward Ratio
The risk/reward ratio for this trade is approximately 1:2, providing a favorable setup.
Conclusion
The BTC/USDT futures market is exhibiting strong bearish momentum, supported by key technical indicators such as moving averages, RSI, MACD, and Elliott Wave analysis. Traders should consider short positions with careful risk management. Always remember to conduct your own research and adjust strategies based on real-time market conditions.
⚠️ *Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is recommended to conduct your own research before making investment decisions.* ⚠️
Sponsored links
- Paybis (crypto exchanger) — Buy/sell crypto via card or bank transfer.
- Binance — Exchange (spot/futures).
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- BingX — Exchange and derivatives.
- Bitget — Exchange (derivatives).
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Recommended Crypto Futures Exchanges
| Exchange | Futures Features | Sign-Up |
|---|---|---|
| Binance Futures | Up to 125x leverage, USDⓈ-M contracts | Register Now - CashBack 10% SPOT and Futures |
| Bybit Futures | Inverse perpetual contracts | Start Trading |
| BingX Futures | Copy-trading for futures | Join BingX |
| Bitget Futures | USDT-margined contracts | Open Account |
Join the community
Subscribe to our Telegram channel @strategybin. The most favorable exchange rate for VISA to cryptocurrencies..